CACHECOW/ dossiers / q-creek
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[ scouting plate · Q Creek ]
Sublette County, Wyoming

Q Creek Ranch

11,260 acres owned. 548,740 borrowed from the federal government at 1978 prices.

Deeded
11,260
Leased
548,740
Total
560,000
Herd
~13,600 est.
Acquired
2026 (current)
The Analysis · scouting readout

Optimized for sovereignty, survivability, and a new economics.

Sovereignty
01 with CacheCow

2% deeded — 11,260 of 560,000 acres owned outright.src

Most of this ground is leased and can be lost. The herd-knowledge CacheCow records is the one asset no landlord can take back.

Survivability
35 with CacheCow

~35 acres to feed one cow (solid stocking rate). The sparser the range, the thinner the margin when an animal goes quiet.src

Early detection turns the harshest survivability number around: respiratory trouble caught days sooner is the difference between a sick cow and a dead one, exactly where the country gives you no second chances.

Economics
5already maxed

~13,600 head sets the size of the preventable-loss pool.src

Divide the losses, multiply the survivors: every animal that doesn't die to a disease we flagged early is value that compounds back into the operation.

base CacheCow lift
The Division & Multiplication  ·  what we'd save you here

Conservatively, counting only the cattle respiratory disease would otherwise kill, caught early enough to save. It is the floor, not the ceiling: treatment cost, shrink, and lost weight are real too, and left out on purpose.

13,600
head (est. from acreage)src
×
2%
annual death losssrc
×
28%
is respiratorysrc⚠
×
27%
caught earlysrc⚠
=
20.6
head saved / yr
×
$2,600
per headsrc
Conservative floor ☞
$53,464 / year
Herd is an estimate from grazable acreage at the Wyoming stocking rate — labeled est., never presented as an actual count. The early-detection figure comes from a feedlot trial; range cow-calf dynamics differ, so we use the conservative end.
What we'd do here

Two percent owned outright — the thinnest deeded stake in the portfolio. The other 548,740 acres are federal range, held at $1.35 per animal unit month under a fee schedule that hasn't meaningfully moved since Carter. Wyoming wind moves a herd before a rancher feels the change. Our sensors don't get cold. They'd hold the line on the nights you're finally asleep — on land that can be taken back by a policy decision.

On the figures · confidence High (conflicted). Reported ~560,000 total, mostly leased. Cowboy State Daily: 11,260 deeded + leased federal range (~2% owned outright — the lowest deeded fraction in the portfolio). At $1.35/AUM, the federal grazing fee on 548,740 leased acres costs a fraction of private-market rate. No specific AUM fee figure has been publicly reported for Q Creek. Possible aggregator swap with Waggoner — we keep them separate.
Sources  ·  nothing here is unsourced
  1. 01Cowboy State Daily · 2026-01Q Creek Ranch — ~11,260 deeded acres plus leased federal range
  2. 02Bureau of Land Management · 2024Federal grazing fee — $1.35/AUM (2024), set by formula under PRIA 1978The $1.35 AUM fee has been at or near its statutory floor for decades. Market rate for private grazing land is typically $10–$23/AUM in the West.
  3. 03University of Wyoming Extension (B-1320)Stocking rate — high-plains worked example
  4. 04USDA APHIS NAHMS · 2015Adult cattle annual death rate ~2%
  5. 05USDA NASS · 2011Cattle Death Loss — 4.3% of inventory; respiratory disease 28% of non-predator lossUSDA's detailed Cattle Death Loss report has not been reissued since 2011; we do not imply newer national cause-tables exist.
  6. 06Translational Animal Science (Oxford) · 2025Randomized feedlot trial: automated early BRD detection cut untreated deaths ~75% and total fallouts ~27%, treating ~3.7 days earlierSeveral authors are employed by Merck Animal Health, which makes the tested device. We cite the statistically-significant mortality/fallout figures, not the marginal per-head economic figure (P=0.06).
  7. 07CattleFax (via NCBA) · 2026-022026 full-year feeder average forecast ~$335/cwt (most conservative benchmark)
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